Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive JudgmentThomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, Daniel Kahneman Cambridge University Press, 8 jul 2002 - 3 pagina's Is our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book, first published in 2002, examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky). |
Inhoudsopgave
Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring | |
Daniel T Gilbert 10 Mental Contamination and the DebiasingProblem | |
The Contagion | |
ForecastingConfidence andCalibration 13 The Weighingof Evidenceandthe Determinants | |
E Norms and Counterfactuals | |
PART TWO NEWTHEORETICAL DIRECTIONS A Two Systems ofReasoning | |
Implications | |
B Support Theory | |
Alternative Perspectives on Heuristics | |
and Processing Strategies | |
AutomatedChoice Heuristics Shane Frederick | |
How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? Gerd Gigerenzer Jean Czerlinskiand Laura Martignon | |
The Causesand Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions | |
Resistanceof Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing | |
The Role | |
The Dilemma of Unrealistic | |
A Everyday Judgmentand Behavior | |
The Roleof Representativeness | |
Index | |
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Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman Gedeeltelijke weergave - 2002 |
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